Publisher Confidence Survey Results
Cribb, Greene
April 21, 2010
Mid and small market newspapers quite optimistic
Media analysts and lenders may want to take note: mid and small market newspaper executives are very optimistic about their future financial performance, local market economies, and the newspaper industry in general.
Cribb, Greene & Associates has released the Publisher Confidence Survey Spring 2010 with results that may surprise newspaper industry observers. Newspaper executives clearly feel that the industry is improving quickly.
Seventy one percent (71%) of executives polled believe their advertising revenues will be up in 2011 and 25% more think they will be about the same as this year. Only 4% think next year's ad revenues will be down.
Most newspapers believe their local market economies are improving or stable (94%); their profits will be up in 2011 (68%); and with an improving economy feel their profit margin will be the same or better than in the past (69%). However a substantial number of respondents - 31% - think their profit margin will be lower than it was prior to the economic downturn.
In a change from responses in last fall's Survey, 68% would not consider eliminating their web press and outsourcing printing - up from 56%. The question on considering buying a newspaper is still about 50-50, however it tipped to more "no" (53%) than "yes" (47%). Fifty-four percent (54%) say bank financing on reasonable terms is available to them, up from 49% last fall.
Respondents became more decisive in answering the question "Would you recommend the newspaper business as a career for your children?" This litmus test question last fall produced 33% "yes" responses which has increased to 39% in the current Survey. When added to those who "maybe" would suggest newspapers as a career the percentage totaled 73%, with 27% saying "no" to this question.
The Cribb, Greene Publisher Confidence Survey polls mid and small market newspaper executives to see how they feel about current performance. The Spring 2010 Survey had 160 participants of which 36% have daily newspapers, 19% have both daily and non-daily newspapers, and 45% have non-daily (primarily weekly) newspapers.
Complete Survey Results here (PDF)
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